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bikeoid

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Everything posted by bikeoid

  1. Here's a list of the stores within city limits https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1HbgFgNuJbyPHKfkVOBycy5B3fu3cK1FJ&hl=en&ll=34.847998501342985%2C-82.359175&z=12
  2. I believe they have determined that the rubberized construction is not durable enough for the trail traffic levels. Those will be replaced with a solid surface when it is fixed.
  3. New Zealand was quick to act, quick to shut down travel and did their own early shutdown. After they confirmed it was under control, they're able to completely reopen except for unrestricted travel between countries.
  4. I think I heard some others mention this location because of the social events at Community Tap / Methodical Coffee, and now there's the D'Allesandro's Pizza also. If the residents use it regularly, it would add to that count. But NorthPointe might be enough of a 'car culture' location that they wouldn't use the trolley.
  5. Yes, Universal Joint isn't far, and probably a safer place for the trolley to stop.
  6. The Greenville trolleys resume tonight with new routes and schedules. Looks like there's no stop yet at Northpointe - it may require more people to move in there first to crete a demand. http://trackthetrolley.com/
  7. bikeoid

    245 E Broad

    Last I knew, this was in the "North of Broad" district - they even had signage:
  8. I haven't seen any hysteria, outside of the meat and toilet paper aisles at the grocery store. The concept behind stay-at-home is working here in Greenville, based on the reported hospital load. This has positioned our area in an advantage moving forward: 1. First responders and hospitals had a chance to stock up on PPE and prepare their patient handling procedures. 2. Treatments become available such as remdesvir to improve the chances for the critically ill. Already there are promising developments for treatments that activate the proper immune response from the body and could be given earlier. They do have to pass review yet to ensure they are effective and safe. So if "Blue lives matter", the shutdown has been well worth it so far - keep in mind that NYPD alone has already lost more than 35 officers to the virus. The future is unknown, and only time will tell if the reopening plans will work as we hope.
  9. This is a poor analogy. A rough equivalent is killer hornets that attach to the undercarriage of vehicles to travel down every Interstate and major highway and build silent nests in the tops of trees. Much later, attracted by crowds, they swarm and attack all at once. A better observation is to ask the question: why, if Greenville County receives an F rating for statistical social distancing, hasn't there been a serious outbreak? Clearly it's in the community already.
  10. I wonder if some change will need to happen because of the "Bohemian Cafe" within the same business district causing a mistaken association?
  11. The design is a Greenville Falls Special from "Escher & Company".
  12. Not sure who 'They' are, but all sources I follow report that most cases are mild. The widely accepted number is 80% as mild. 15% as significant. 5% as very serious. BUT, that 5%. Considering that the transmissible index is much higher than the seasonal flu - the 5% would all go critical in a short period of time; a few weeks at most. Do you propose dumping more than 100,000 (probably much more) into hospitals within a short period to die all at once? And so sorry, all first responders and health care providers having to deal with that. Whereas the more we can delay it allows: time to prepare, time to build up supplies of PPE and ventilators, time to research and conduct tests; if they can create an effective treatment much sooner than a vaccine, that would also allow everyone to get back to life.
  13. Fauci only threw out the possibility that the clinical death rate can be lower, given the low testing/detection rate. But among those actually tested, the 1 - 2.3% rates are solid and the fact remains: hospitals in Louisiana, Florida, and New York are overloaded while dealing with a singular event. He hasn't changed projected total death count ranges, as well as projected hospital loads; only saying that the death counts will be on the lower end if we best observe the distancing and hygiene recommendations.
  14. While I celebrate the 333,240,461 who are still uninfected, I come down more strongly that shutting down is the correct option. The reason is that the actual hospitalization numbers and effects are following the disease model. It's unrealistic to expect that we can go about our way while jamming the hospitals full of the severely ill, with a disproportionate stress and death rate from first responders and health care providers. The result of such a scenario is likely to be worse than short term shutdowns. The solution to the effect of being out of work for a period needs to be along the lines of everyone taking a time out, including on loan payments. So the hair care technician who rents a space, paying the landlord who pays mortgage to the bank - the bank needs to put those payments on hold, etc. This goes all the way back to the portion of my investment portfolio that will take a hit (a small percentage of the overall hit).
  15. These are good points - we can predict the rate and impact from the virus from experience and modeling. The modeling changes based on the success of our unprecedented social isolation and hygiene exercises. But as you note, the impacts of economic shutdown have a very real consequence - there will be people that die because of a shutdown. We have no previous experience or models to use as a comparison to make an informed decision whether it is better to stay isolated or that we need to get back to work to avoid an even worse outcome. I hope research can come up with solutions to apply well before the arrival of a vaccine.
  16. 4 million cases is just 10% of the typical total case count, in a situation where every doctor's office has access to seasonal flu test kits. The relatively low numbers of CV-19 are somewhat related to unavailability of testing. While many cases are mild, those requiring hospitalization throw a wrench into the system. For example, where are the statistics that show 40+ healthcare workers in Italy die from the seasonal flu?
  17. The difference between the coronavirus and the flu is the spreadability index - if it hits everyone at once and the hospitals overflow - good luck if you need any other type of medical care, not to mention taking out a significant number of first responders and health care providers. Flu deaths are spread out over 7-8 months and are not as dangerous to providers.
  18. I found several reports about Italy where doctors are saying they have never seen anything like this - the hospitals are maxed out. So one possible explanation is that it's spreading much faster than the seasonal flu, thus the critically ill all need treatment at once. So even without a test, people would be asking "What is going on?" - like the New Jersey family with 7 infected, and 4 died already (the first death in that family was 55).
  19. It's hard to obtain statistics on whether the hospitals are more jammed than usual. People are stating many facts about Italy, but I haven't heard doctors there comparing the hospital load to previous years. That would be the primary driver to shut things down. Countries who did take this seriously have fought similar outbreaks several times, so they considered it worthwhile. Congress has no hesitation to act on the CV19 problem. The cynic in me wonders how this correlates with the increased vulnerability of the older population and the average age of Congress.
  20. Also, with the vaccine at least 12-18 months away, what are the chances that our social distancing without widespread testing will really halt the virus until then? It will be impractical to shut the world down for 18 months, so if we don't stop it - things will reopen and we'll have to take the hit (whatever it is).
  21. The survival rate is not 100 percent for healthy people, and complications from pneumonia are nothing to take lightly. The fact that it seems to spread easier is a factor - despite the extraordinary care now taken (mass hand washing lessons, etc), it has entered a second senior care home. Based on numbers alone in the US, an unchecked spread would almost certainly max out hospitals with serious cases, leading to suspension of all health care activities for everyone else. In the best case, we'll all look back at this and scoff that it was a scam, just as most people look back at Y2K and laugh at the scam. While I don't know that jail doors would have opened on 1/1/2000, I can say with certainty that massive parts of the economy would have reverted back to paper and pencil , and many services would have stopped for several months if nothing was done beforehand. Managers never would have authorized funds for the fixes if the media hadn't hyped the scare stories.
  22. Greenville County has been named as the third healthiest county on SmartAsset’s top 10 Healthiest Places in South Carolina. https://greenvillejournal.com/news/greenville-county-ranks-among-healthiest-places-in-south-carolina/
  23. Greenville-Anderson-Mauldin area made #19 on the list of 2020’s Most Overweight and Obese Cities in the U.S.
  24. Off topic, except for the keyword matches - https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0781SKM8X/ref=dm_ws_tlw_trk10 Since the developer hasn't put up a web site yet that I can find.
  25. Cool! They've discovered the G-Vegas guitar!
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