skycity
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Posts posted by skycity
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15 minutes ago, urbanlife said:
My two cents on this is the whole "the virus is only dangerous to old people" was a false narrative because I wouldn't be surprised if it is what is causing serious health issues in young people that got infected and survived.
With that said, we should really be focused on the conversations around Richmond and not on the topics of the pandemic since society has turned that into such a polarizing subject that is full of misconceptions and false information.
The data I provided was taken only from official sources. Where are the "misconceptions and false information?"
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8 minutes ago, Icetera said:
@skycityI love how in the process of force spamming your QAnon-esque rhetoric, you accidently circled back to exactly the article that started this conversation. In the future, please refrain from using this forum to peddle books (especially by "Equity Investment Executives" trying to play virologist).
What part of the data that I submitted do you think is fake? How is this trend not relevant to the economy and growth of Richmond and every other metro in the country?
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Meanwhile, people from NoVA seem to be moving to Richmond: https://www.axios.com/local/richmond/2023/01/16/northern-virginia-nova-richmond
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2 hours ago, wrldcoupe4 said:
Okay, can you stop beating around the bush and just share what you think is the culprit?
Data involving the statistics can be found in this book, which includes QR codes on almost every page linking to the official sources: https://www.amazon.com/Cause-Epidemic-Sudden-Childrens-Defense/dp/1510776397
You can also go through official data at this website: http://phinancetechnologies.com/HumanityProjects/Projects.htm
https://stevekirsch.substack.com
https://www.theyliedpeopledied.com
I think the culprit is quite obvious. But first, people need to understand that the deaths really are happening. Whatever you think the cause might be, the significant rise in morality could explain what is starting to show up in the population data.
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19 hours ago, I miss RVA said:
Right - even from 850 miles away, I don't get a vibe of 'stagnation' in Richmond or Henrico (particularly if you read the RVA/Reddit page - holy moly - folks are moving here IN DROVES - from ALL OVER the place!) Seems like there's are a handful of newbies announcing they're moving here or just moved here posting every single day. And not just there- but other commentaries on RVA in various places. Seems like the city and metro both are doing what you'd expect a growing city and metro to do.
Like you, Coupe, I'm not at all certain what to make of the population estimates - except maybe it's reflective of some kind of out-migration. By that I do not mean like the white flight we saw back in the day that bled anywhere from 45,000 (using the 1970 census estimate of 249,000) to 60,000 (using the Richmond Times-Dispatch's estimate of 264,000 as of January 1, 1970 - immediately following annexation. (NOTE: the Times-Dispatch was using estimates provided by the city - which had estimated the population in 1969 to be 217,000. Annexation added 47,000 residents = a total of 264,000 on January 1, when the annexation became official.) I mean - a 'natural' out-migration of people moving from RIC to other cities for jobs, family, economic situation. Perhaps the decline (I saw an estimate of about 100 people for the calendar year 2021) could be attributed to natural birth/death rates - but with the death rate sadly exacerbated by the impact of the pandemic.
Either way - it's hard to tell.
Edward Dowd and others have laid this out using official data and life insurance numbers. The "pandemic" did not significantly increase excess mortality. A tsunami of excess deaths, disability, and a falling birth rate began AFTER the pandemic. Sudden heart attacks, strokes, fast cancers, and neurological disorders are exploding in younger people. I am afraid we are beginning to see the effect of this in these strange population numbers. China has hit a demographic wall, and their economy is likely going to go the way Japan's did after the bubble burst in the 90s. The US, Canada, Australia, and Europe, are all seeing massive excess mortality.
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1 hour ago, wrldcoupe4 said:
Henrico and the City hardly feel stagnant so not sure what to think of those estimates to be honest.
You can no longer approach any population estimates in the way we have, traditionally. The entire country (and much of the world) are in the middle of a sudden and severe demographic implosion. The spike in excess mortality is unlike anything we have seen in our lifetimes. Life insurance companies consider a 10% rise in excess mortality to be catastrophic and we are now seeing 40% excess mortality. Additionally, fertility rates are plunging around the world. "Stagnant" is an understatement in terms of what we are going to see, moving forward. And there are real implications for property values and other commodities as demand collapses. What is occurring now is far greater excess mortality than anything that was seen during "covid." Interestingly, it all began with the rollout of a certain experimental medical intervention. You can try to ignore this reality, but everything I am saying is backed up by the statistics and the pattern is the same all over the world. We are in a new world now.
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I submit the above post to provoke thought, not to begin a discussion with the intention of hijacking the forum. This is my final statement on this topic.
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The CEO of One America insurance company, based in Indianapolis, says "death rates are up 40% over what they were pre-pandemic." These are not direct Covid deaths: https://www.thecentersquare.com/indiana/indiana-life-insurance-ceo-says-deaths-are-up-40-among-people-ages-18-64/article_71473b12-6b1e-11ec-8641-5b2c06725e2c.html
A hypothesis is emerging that many will find troubling. As far I as I can tell, the data is well documented but would take some time to verify independently:
https://milomac.substack.com/p/excess-deaths-versus-percent-vaccinated?s=r
https://www.beotchute.com/video/FLtkE3Syw3Gq/
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm#dashboard
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Lifestyle and drug use would manifest as a gradual increase in deaths. Something else is causing the sudden, catastrophic spike we are seeing which began in 2021. Within my own circle, I am seeing more young people falling victim to heart attacks, strokes, and sudden cancers than I can ever remember. This is causing great concern within the insurance industry because it has emerged as a once in 500 year event which was not anticipated.
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On 3/28/2022 at 12:20 PM, Downtowner said:
Don’t to be a Debby downer but I’ve heard the millennial generation is dying faster then gen x due to all of the drug and alcohol problems and suicide problems across the world. You take in every little thing that people die from now a days with millennials and it doesn’t shock me they are dying faster than the older generations. Also heard that millennials will die sooner than gen x as well. I’m a millennial and look into a lot of different statistics on different generations and it doesn’t shock me about millennials. I hope I’m one of the lucky ones who out lives that expectancy. It saddens me to see a younger generation dying faster than an older one. So many problems on this planet now not sure what the future holds but people die from so much now I think it will cripple the global economy one day.
The death rate is up dramatically in all age groups. Millennial excess mortality is just the signal that something is very wrong.
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Regarding census numbers: What will be the impact of the current spike in excess mortality? According to CDC and insurance company data, there has been an 84% increase in all cause mortality for millennials (ages 25-44) since the second half of 2021. Millennial deaths during this time have exceeded U.S. casualties in the Vietnam War. The spike is occurring in people 45 and older as well. Heart attacks, blood clots, neurological disorders, aggressive cancers are all exploding. Demographically, we are entering new, uncharted territory.
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A new office building in the works? https://richmondbizsense.com/2020/07/27/costar-eyes-new-riverfront-office-building/
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How does this effect Dominion and it's headquarters in Richmond? https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/05/warren-buffetts-berkshire-buys-dominion-energy-natural-gas-assets-in-10-billion-deal.html
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From the end of a Channel 6 story on the impending demolition:
"A spokesperson for Dominion Energy says the company will announce at a later date what its plans are for the property."
This does not sound encouraging to me. Considering what is happening to the global economy, are we looking at a parking lot for 20-30 years?
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The old Dominion building will come down on May 30:
https://richmondbizsense.com/2020/03/20/implosion-date-set-for-dominion-energy-tower-downtown/
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Considering that we're probably heading into something even more disruptive than the Great Depression, what are the chances that a current tower renovated would be more valuable than a parking lot?
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A lot of cities seem to have bulked up their skylines in the 80s and then not changed much. For example, look at Columbus and Indianapolis, which have taller buildings than Richmond but really have not had much significant change.
Taller additions to the skyline would do a lot for the psyche of the city in terms of a "big league" mindset. These things seem to be the result of unseen economic forces. For example, New York's recent development frenzy seems very unnatural.
Unfortunately, I think there are some terrifying things happening on the global economic front that could really halt a lot of development everywhere.
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Another great Richmond drone video which hit YouTube recently:
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Here is an interesting article on the new tower and its political relationship to Navy Hill: https://richmondbizsense.com/2019/10/24/decision-on-2nd-dominion-tower-looms-large-over-navy-hill-project/
On 10/14/2019 at 2:38 PM, RVAnouveau said:During the 600 Canal process, there was background chatter about the discord between the architectural firms involved and Dom who put on pressure to get things done without much in the way of imagination.
This is very interesting. I noticed that while 600 Canal Place appeared on Pickard Chilton's website, it didn't seem like they were trumpeting it from the rooftops as they have with other recent buildings. I would love to know what their original plans looked like and the extent to which Dominion "value engineered" anything creative out of them.
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Should we be worried that they don't have any immediate plans to begin building another tower? Are we going to end up with a parking lot on that site for the next twenty years? Consider how many second phases of twin towers have been abandoned over the years. The global economy also appears to be headed for a major crash with the Fed injecting into the REPO market to keep liquidity and corporate debt at an all-time high. I hate to be pessimistic, but I would prefer that the current tower remain rather than have an empty lot on the site for years to come.
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An architectural review from Style Weekly. The only point of criticism is the Cary Street side which is fronted by the parking garage. This has been a problem with several of the new buildings which seem to turn Cary Street into a back alley, taking away and chance of vibrancy in the future.
https://www.styleweekly.com/richmond/a-billowing-sail/Content?oid=15002375
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RVA growth 1950 to today
in Richmond
Posted · Edited by skycity
This has absolutely nothing to do with politics. It's reality, and you can acknowledge it now or later. I sincerely hope that Richmond can move forward in spite of the paradigm-changing economic challenges that are ahead. Hopefully, RVA will be well-positioned to attract professionals who continue to flee New York City.